11 Aug Distressed Dynasty Assets to Buy
Trade deadline season has quickly sprung upon us, and the buyers and sellers have clearly been identified in your league. If you are a selling team, looking to retool with an eye on the future, the following guys in this piece make for awesome targets (either before the trade deadline or come the off-season.)
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Gary Sanchez, NYY C1:
I get that the discount on Sanchez won’t be big, but now is the time to buy. Sanchez could be the best catcher in fantasy for the next 5+ years and now is likely the cheapest he will ever be in his career. In one of my leagues he went for Dee Gordon, which seems cheap for the Bronx Backstop. Sanchez has had something of a lost season, but his career totals of a .527 slug and a 9% walk rate show his skills are real and sustainable.
Ryan McMahon, COL 1b:
McMahon has seen his dynasty value take a hit, but he still should be seen a nice piece to acquire. He could have multi-position flexbility during his career, as the Rockies have a penchant for positioning him at 1b/2b/3b with relative frequency. McMahon’s value is somewhat Coors’ dependent, but he has shown a nice ability to walk, may add some steals early on in his career, and has been a slugging percentage machine. If the McMahon owner is contending this year, you maybe able to affordably pickup your first-baseman of the future.
Scott Kingery, PHI 2b:
Disappointment is one word that could be used to describe Kingery’s first full season in the big leagues, and shrewd dynasty owners should be prepared to take advantage of this window and buy Kingery. The former Arizona Wildcat walk-on has not fueled speed, power or average for fantasy owners in 2018. The biggest issue is his putrid slash line: .227/.270/.326, but Kingery’s not been a batting average drain in the minors, posting .290+ averages at several stops. I would be willing to bet Kingery can be a batting average positive, while adding some power and speed in a budding Phillies’ lineup.
Addison Russell, CHC SS:
Adding more walks to his game and cutting back on his strikeouts have proven paramount for Addison Russell in ’18. He has reduced his K rate while raising his BB rate in 2018, compared to 2017. The power has yet to come, (a measly 5 homers) but his low 2018 HR/FB rate (5.6%) should regress closer his career mark (11%). I’m not sure what Russell’s ceiling is, but his approach changes and team context have me interested in a dynasty format if the lack of power production has owners panicking.
Rafael Devers, BOS 3b:
Devers has underwhelmed in 2018, yet he hasn’t killed fantasy teams, as Raf ranks as the #242 player in 5×5 roto. His plate discipline skills remain largely the same, yet he appears to be getting babip’d. Saying a guy is getting hurt by babip is typically lazy analysis, but Devers typically posts babips of .330-360 and this year is well under that number (.292)! Devers is hitting the ball hard just as often as he did in 2017 and is putting the ball on the ground less. Devers is giving up some free outs via the infield fly ball, 17.1% (career rate of 16%), but he should still bounce back nicely for fantasy owners who invest in the 21 year old.
Bradley Zimmer, CLE OF:
Potentially the stinkiest buy (Russell may have him beat though) on the list thus far, Zimmer has some real warts in his profile. To begin, he had season ending shoulder surgery recently to repair his torn labrum. To complicate matters further, he may not even be ready for the beginning of the 2019 season. Zimmer also suffers from a ridiculous swing and miss issue, K’ing nearly 40 percent of the time this season. After outlining these clear issues, you are probably wondering why you would consider this risky, soon to be 26 year old. Power-Speed is the natural selling point for Zimmer, as he could reasonably post 20-30 (HR-SB) or even 20-40 seasons once healthy and in the lineup (his glove should keep him consistently in the lineup). Zimmer is a risk, but if you find the right value, he could help a dynasty owner with an eye on the future.
Trey Mancini, BAL OF:
Mancini doesn’t have that loud speed, the amazing hit rate you covet, or even huge power, but I think he’s a nice dynasty buy at the moment. Mancini owners may look at his batting average and be disappointed, but his BABIP is about 50 points below his career mark. His team context currently hurts him somewhat, but hitting in a premium lineup spot should buoy his stats. Overall, Mancini isn’t a super sexy buy in dynasty formats, but he is a quality hitter in a good lineup spot who should be able to provide some power and BA in a hitter friendly division and home park.
Hunter Renfroe, SD OF:
After having one foot in the MLB and another foot outside of our great game, Renfroe has heated up of late, and made skills changes. He’s walking close to 10 percent of the time now, and his .246 BA won’t kill fantasy owners if he can provide 30+ homer power. The Renfroe owner has had a roller coaster of an experience rostering Renfroe, perhaps they are ready to jump off. If so, it would be wise to inquire on the former high end power prospect.
Aaron Sanchez, TOR SP:
Injury issues have plagued Aaron Sanchez since he dominated the league in 2016, when he won 15 games with a sizzling 3.00 ERA. Since then, he has been battled blisters and is currently struggling with a finger issue at the moment. Walks have ultimately lead to Sanchez’s downfall, something likely attributed to his lost feel. Sanchez still has upside to improve, obviously he can clean up his walk rate that has skyrocketed. Sanchez also needs to induce those ground-balls to get back to form. As we may see with Chris Archer & Kevin Gausman, if Sanchez is moved outside the AL Beast, that represents a clear boost to his value. This buy carries some risk, but he should be able to be had for something of a reasonable cost, especially if the Sanchez owner needs another piece to add to their push.
Mike Soroka, ATL SP:
Projection systems cast a puny WHIP upon the 21 year old Canadian, and that’s due to his elite ability to limit walks. Another massive plus Soroka has going for him is his penchant to induce ground-balls, a must for a non-strikeout arm. The strikeouts haven’t been there in the big leagues, but he should be able to tick up closer to 8 to 8.5 K’s per 9, given his stuff (his sinker and changeup rated as plus pitches per Fangraphs). Soroka doesn’t get the big time strikeouts to allure fantasy owners, but owners who want a low risk young SP to boost WHIP should inquire in on the young righty.
Not all of these guys will strike your fancy, but hopefully you as a reader may find intrigue in a guy or two who can help inject some youth into your dynasty franchise. Thanks for reading and good luck before the deadline or in the off-season!