18 Jul Lucas’ 2nd Half Predictions and Thoughts
With the All Star Break ongoing, I hope fantasy owners have taken some time off to enjoy the break–our 6 month marathon to the finish is truly a grind.
I came up with some thoughts and predictions for the 2nd half, some more likely than others, hopefully y’all enjoy!
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John Ryan Murphy, who’s 5th in baseball in hard hit rate for catchers (46%), lands within the top 15 of catchers, and provides immense value for those who faabed him in those uber deep leagues.
Austin Barnes (currently outside the top 1000 players in 5×5 roto) and was selected ridiculously high (210 ADP), gets left in the dust in terms of dollars earned by no names like Austin Romine (thanks Sonny Gray), JR Murphy, Elias Diaz and super nice pickup John Hicks.
My top 1B in fantasy come season’s end is the fatso in Milwaukee; Jesus Aguilar. He’s shown his best skills of his career thus far, with career highs in BB and K rate for the MLB level.
Ian Desmond falls flat on his face after placing as the 60th best player in roto for the first half. I won’t be betting on repeat performance for a guy with an 89 WRC+ and a guy striking out 26% of the time.
The guy who has been on the rise, along with his surprise team, is Matt Olson. Olson is destroying baseballs, with an absurd career high 52% hard hit rate. Expect him to potentially go on a tear that could propel Oakland to the promise land.
Jed Lowrie is sitting just outside the top 5 2B in roto leagues thus far, and I expect he continues his torrid pace. Stanford Educated Jed should set some careers highs at age 34, what a helluva season for a guy who was an afterthought during draft season.
My pick to come back and reward owners handsomely is Robinson Cano, who is leading all 2B with an astounding 43.4% hard hit rate.
Following a monster 20 homer, 25 steal year, Elvis Andrus has mostly crapped the bed in ’18 due to injury and lack of steals. I have a feeling he could erupt in the 2nd half, going for 10 homers and 10 steals in the remaining portion of the season.
The Chicago Cubs are ecstatic to see Addison Russell get back to his former self, and his skills growth should allow for him to finish the season within the top 12 shortstops in fantasy rest of season.
It wasn’t long ago when fantasy owners were worried that Nick Senzel was going to steal AB’s from Eugenio Suarez, but I predict come seasons’ end, Suarez steals some MVP votes. He has been unbelievable, posting 19 bombs, 71 ribbies, while missing a portion of the season with a broken thumb.
From the 2nd half on: I think Evan Longoria will bounce back and outproduce the likes of Mike Moustakas, Miguel Andujar and Brian Anderson.
Where there’s a Wil, there’s a way, and Myers is willing himself to stardom in San Diego. Wil Myers should finish as a top 12 OF from the All Star Break on.
Nick Markakis should continue on his sizzling start, and finish as a top 50 roto player come seasons’ end, surprising the crap out of everyone except Todd Zola.
Cody Bellinger, a guy who is capable of getting white hot, goes off and finishes the season as a top 50 roto player, he’s currently ranked 93.
After not being initially profiled as a supreme strikeout pitcher, Aaron Nola has been unbelievable thus far, but I think he will be even better to close out 2018. I predict he will finish as a top 5 SP at seasons’ end.
As far as a lower profile arm to succeed in the 2nd half, Matt Harvey is my choice. Over his last 29 IP, the former Tar Heel has been electric: 1.86 ERA & 1.07 WHIP to pair with 4 wins and 23 K’s. Baseball is a better world when Matt Harvey is rolling.
It’s Edwin Diaz‘ world and we are simply living in it. The Seattle Showstopper has been nails thus far, posting 79 K’s and 36 saves over the balance of a mere 48 IP. Diaz should continue this ridiculous run, and post 60+ saves.
Not only was Mike Matheny removed from his role in Saint Louis, but I also believe Bud Norris’ days are numbered, and Jordan Hicks should prove to be a supremely dominant closer from day one.
There will certainly be some egg on my face with some of these predictions, but I believe all of these things are certainly possible, and without a bit of zest to a prediction, where’s the fun?
Good luck to all owners in your leagues this second half, and remember: Flags Fly Forever!