25 Sep Stromme’s Selections: Spreads and Totals Week 3 10-3 ATS YTD!!
By: Mike Stromme
WHEEWWWW! We really hit it last week! 4-1 ATS and 3-0 on the totals! God damn, if only everything in this life tasted this sweet!
Year To Date:
Lets keep things rolling!
Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers (-7) 48
Pick: Lions +7
The Lions are an improved football team this year. Matthew Stafford has taken this team by the horns, and is ready to lead this team. The Lions were a hail mary away from sweeping the Packers last season, they went into Lambeau Field last season and beat the Packers outright. Aaron Rodgers has yet to throw for more than 215 yards this season, a touchdown is too much to lay in a divisional game of this magnitude. Gimme the Lions.
Minnesota Vikings @ Carolina Panthers (-7) 41.5
Pick: Vikings +7
To me, the Vikings are the class of the NFC North. They have an incredibly talented young defense and an offense that can compete with most teams. I know that Adrian Peterson is out, but he wasn’t making an impact with this team over the last few games dating back to the Wild Card game against Seattle. Like I’ve said before, the Panthers are a good team, not a great one. The Vikings are too good of a team to be this undervauled. I’ll gladly take the points in this one.
Oakland Raiders @ Tennessee Titans (-1) 47.5
Pick: UNDER 47.5
I’m of the belief that the Titans will control the time of possession battle in this contest. They’ll run the ball, make high-percentage passes to the TE/slot receiver and make sure that this high-octane offense stays off the field. And, when they do get on the field, Dick LeBeau will make sure his defense makes it a tough go. This game will be ugly and boring for most, but I’ll gladly watch this game soar under the total.
Los Angeles Rams @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) 41.5
Picks: Rams +4.5 OVER 41.5
Call me crazy, but I think that the team that has yet to score a touchdown is going to get themselves caught up in an old fashion shoot-out. This game will be back and fourth, with a decent amount of touchdowns scored. Don’t believe me? Just look back to the last time these two teams played, on Dec. 12, 2015. The Rams won 32-23 in what turned out to be their final game in St. Louis. With the two teams deploying very similar rosters from the last game they played, I like the Rams and the over.
San Francisco 49ers @ Seattle Seahawks (-10) 41
Pick: 49ers +10
The 49ers have shown some heart through the first two weeks. I’m not gunna lie, I like what Chip Kelly has done with this squad thus far. The travel schedule kind of concerns me, the Niners have travelled 2,000+ miles in less than two weeks. But in the NFL, double-digit dogs cover more often than not. In a divisional matchup, I like San Fran for the backdoor cover.
Chicago Bears @ Dallas Cowboys (-6.5) 44
Pick: Bears +6.5
To me, this line is a bit of an overreaction. If the Bears had put up any fight last Monday night, this line would probably be Cowboys -3, maybe -3.5. However, the Cowboys have proven to be competent while the Bears… well….
That being said, the Cowboys, as they are currently constructed, aren’t built to cover big numbers. Under Dak Presscott, they are very much a ball control team. They like to hold the ball, make short plays and win the time of possession battle. Expect a ton of Cole Beasley, Jason Witten, Ezekiel Elliot and a Bears backdoor cover. The drop-off between Jay Cutler and Brian Hoyer is a lateral move anyways. Gimme da Bears.