17 Sep Stromme’s Takes: Striking DraftKing Gold, Week 2 Picks
Man, what a way to kick things off! Here’s to Week 2 being every bit as awesome as Week 1 was. I was bang-on about that Raiders-Saints game and the Lions-Colts. The Browns? Ahhhh, not so much. Oh well, let’s do it all over again!
Here’s a look back at last week’s average points per position:
QB: 29.94 (Gold: 35.4, Silver: 29.1, Bronze: 10.3)
RB: 21.57 (Gold: 14.6, Silver: 14.2, Bronze: 35.9)
WR: 20.14 (Gold: 11.3, Silver: 36.4, Bronze: 18.7)
TE: 9.63 (Gold: 1.6, Silver: 13.7, Bronze: 9.6)
D/ST: 5.25 (Gold: 6.0, Silver: 0, Bronze: 4.0)
24-Karat Players of the Week: Drew Brees, Willie Snead, Brandin Cooks and Spencer Ware.
Fool’s Gold: Robert Griffin III, Odell Beckham Jr., Coby Fleener, Rams, Titans and Bears D/ST.
Anyways, Week 2 is a new week. Get them fantasy pick-axes ready, cause we’re mining for gold this week, baby!
Gold: Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers (DK $7,900)
Call it recency bias, call it a gut feeling, call it whatever you want. But, I really like Cam this week. Among the top options at quarterback, Cam is the only one that isn’t in a tough matchup or playing on the road in what appears to be wet conditions (looking at you, Drew Brees). Cam and the Panthers get a young 49er defense travelling cross-country on a short week coming off their most decisive win in about a calendar year. The Rams made this 49er defense look much stronger than they actually are, gimme the dual-threat in Superman.
Silver: Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders (DK $7,200)
The Raiders left New Orleans with a victory in one hell of a game. They now return to the Bay Area to play another NFC South team with a soft defense, the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons are travelling cross-country to face an offense that clearly can light-up the scoreboard. Jameis Winston threw for four touchdowns on these guys last week. Derek
Carr should have a field day with these jet-lagged dirty birds.
Bronze: Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (DK $6,700)
Yes, I understand that I used jet-lag as a case for taking the home QBs in the previous two selections, but did you see what ALEX SMITH did to that secondary last week? The Chargers were soft last year defensively, they were soft last week, they’re going to continue to be soft until proven otherwise. I like what Bortles was able to do against a strong Green Bay secondary last week, let’s see what he and the Allen brothers can do in a much more favourable matchup, even if it is in a different time zone.
Fantasy PSA: I know that Drew Brees was outstanding last week against the Raiders, and the last time he and the Giants hooked up there were 101 total points scored. But, TREAD LIGHTLY in that game. Trust me, Brees is a different quarterback away from the SuperDome and there’s rain in the forecast. Drew Brees, Eli Manning and stacks utilising their com padres might look tempting, but try your best to avoid them. You’re laying chalk and taking the most non-contrarian play on the board for something that looks, to me at least, to be a total let-down. I’m not saying don’t get some shares of those two offenses, I’m just saying TREAD LIGHTLY.
Gold: C.J. Anderson, Denver Broncos (DK $6,800)
C.J. Anderson went 20/92/1 on the ground with 4/47/1 on 5 targets through the air last Thursday against a downright nasty Carolina defensive front. This week, he gets a banged-up, Swiss cheese Indianapolis run defense in a game where the Broncos look like they will have the lead for much of the game. Look for C.J. to score, catch balls, win the battle in the trenches and rack up a TON of garbage time yards in the fourth quarter.
Silver: Rashad Jennings, New York Giants (DK $5,600), Jonathan Stewart, Carolina Panthers (DK $5,400)
Like I mentioned in the above PSA, that Saints-Giants clash in the Meadowlands looks to have a little weather in the forecast (70% chance of precipitation). So, my gut tells me that there’s going to be a little more of a run game from the Giants. Rashad Jennings put to rest the whole “running back by committee” talk in New York with 18 carries last week in Dallas. The Saints are still a terrible run defense, expect Jennings to get the ball upwards of 15-20 times in this matchup… Not only are the Niners travelling cross-country on a short week to play in an early kickoff, nearly
their entire defensive line showed up on the injury report, Arik Armstead, Quinton Dial and Glenn Dorsey all were limited in practice this week. That being said, so was Carolina RB Jonathan Stewart. If Stewart is a go, plug him into a lineup or two. If not, look for Cameron Artis-Payne at $3,000 as a deep sleeper. Either way, there’s going to be a running back wearing the blue, black and silver racking up a ton of points on the 49ers in a great spot.
Bronze: Melvin Gordon, San Diego Chargers (DK $4,800), T.J. Yeldon, Jacksonville Jaguars (DK $4,700)
With not too many enticing frugal options at the running back position, this is as cheap as I’ll go as far as ball carriers this week.
Melvin Gordon finally lost his NFL touchdown virginity TWICE last week in KC. After going an entire season without penetrating an NFL defense for a score, he does it twice behind enemy lines against a pretty good defense. While I understand that Danny Woodhead got the slight edge in overall carries between the two last week (16-14), Gordon got the only two carries in goal-to-go situations; hence the two majors. In a game that looks to be a bit of a barn burner, I’ll take the “goal line back” in Gordon at a $500 discount.
Don’t get me wrong T.J. Yeldon SUCKED last night. To paraphrase Homer Simpson, “Man, I’ve seen sucks before. But he was the suckiest suck that ever sucked.” The man had 21 FRIGGIN CARRIES and couldn’t scrounge together more than 39 yards! Silver-lining, he scored. I’m not thrilled about Yeldon, but you’re not going to find a back who will get you 20+ carries for under $5,000. Plus, the matchup is right. Hold your nose and plug T.J. Yeldon in a lineup or two if you feel like loading up elsewhere.
Gold: A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals (DK $8,900)
Love, love, LOVE! A.J. Green this week! He’s going into play a weaker Pittsburgh secondary and is coming off a phenomenal performance last week against Darrelle Revis and the New York Jets (12/180/1 on 13 targets, in case you didn’t know already). Also, Green LOVES playing on the road in divisional matchups. In his last six road trips into rival turf, he’s averaged 7.5/122.5 and scored five touchdowns; 12/157.7/4 in 2015 alone. Look for Adriel Jeremiah Green to TORCH the Steelers this Sunday.
Silver: Allen Robinson, Jacksonville Jaguars (DK $7,800) Amari Cooper, Oakland Raiders (DK $7,600), Emmanuel Sanders, Denver Broncos (DK $6,000)
The Packers kept Robinson in-check last week, he only caught 5 of 15 targets thrown his way. I don’t think the Chargers will have the same success this week, especially with their top corner Jason Verrett no
t practising this week. Bortles and A-Rob will connect a few times in SoCal Sunday afternoon… All the reasons listed above as to why I love Derek Carr this week apply to Amari Cooper. He’s a special talent that should get his in a great matchup… Now, I’m not going to give Trevor Siemian a ringing endorsement anytime soon. However, he seems to get Emmanuel Sanders the ball (8 targets, lead the Broncos). With Demaryius Thomas banged-up this week, the gap between targets thrown to Sanders and Thomas should widen even further. Also, Vontae Davis is still OUT for the Colts, as is CB2 Patrick Robinson with a concussion. CBs Antonio Cromartie and Darius Butler are also questionable this week.
Bronze: Tyrell Williams, San Diego Chargers (DK $3,700) Cole Beasley, Dallas Cowboys (DK $3,200)
With Keenan Allen done for the season, and Travis Benjamin profiling as more of a deep-threat, Stevie Johnson-type, Tyrell Williams essentially becomes the big-bodied WR1-type (6′-4″, 205 lbs) in this Charger offense that still threw more than they ran last week (36 pass-32 run). Like I mentioned above, I think this game is going to be a high-scoring affair and I feel like Williams will get his looks. At $3,700, you can’t go wrong.
In Dak Presscott’s debut, the most targeted pass catcher, by a wide margin, were safety blankets Cole Beasley and Jason Witten. The two combined saw 26 targets, Cole caught 8 of them for 65 yards. In PPR formats, which DraftKings happens to be, this is GOLD! Expect Dak to feed Cole and Witten continuously until he fully adapts to the pro game.
Gronk probably won’t play and personally, I’d rather not pay-up to get Jordan Reed this week with better, cheaper options on the board.
Silver: Antonio Gates, San Diego Chargers (DK $4,500) Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys (DK $4,400) Gary Barnidge, Cleveland Browns (DK $4,000)
Theme of the week: I like the OVER in the Jacksonville-San Diego game. So, makes sense to take Antonio Gates in this spot. Plus with Keenan Allen out, Rivers may look to his long-time teammate a little more in the red zone… Everything I said about Cole Beasley applies to Jason Witten, keep playing the two until Presscott clues into Dez and Terrance Williams… Good Ol’ Gary Barnidge gets to catch passes from his buddy Josh McCown again! When the two were in the lineup together last season, Barnidge had under 75 receiving yards in only two of those seven games. Those two games came against Arizona and Denver, he scored three touchdowns in those two games. In the other five, he averaged 102.2 yards and scored three times.
Gold: Carolina Panthers (DK $3,900), Seattle Seahawks (DK $3,800)
You watched the late game last Monday, didn’t you? That’s all I’ll say about that.
Silver: Detroit Lions (DK $2,800)
After dealing with Andrew Luck and the Colts last week, this offense should be a breeze. The Titans are trying to be a ball-control, clock-churning type of team that wins the turnover battle. And, it worked for a great deal of the game last week against the Vikings… Until turnovers reared their ugly head again… Turning the ball over is what ultimately did this team in last season, and it looks like the kinks are still being worked-out in this offense. Look for the Titans to not score much, and maybe turnover the ball a little bit.
Bronze: New York Giants (DK $2,600)
I may live to regret this pick, but here me out. Drew Brees is a much different QB on the road, he averages nearly 50 yards/game less outdoors than inside a dome in his career. Pair that with weather in the forecast, and he could turnover the ball a little bit too. This is a huuuge contrarian play, but I believe it’s crazy enough to work; especially in tournament play.
Stacks of the Week:
Panthers: Newton, Stewart, Benjamin, D/ST
Bengals: Dalton, Hill, Green
Steelers: Roethilsberger, Brown, Rogers, James
Jaguars: Bortles, Yeldon, Robinson, Hurns
Chargers: Rivers, Woodhead, Gordon, Williams, Gates
Raiders: Carr, Murray, Cooper, Crabtree
Falcons: Ryan, Jones, Sanu
Broncos: Siemian, Anderson, Sanders, Green
Bears: Cutler, Langford, Jeffery, Miller
Eagles: Wentz, Mathews, Matthews, Ertz